Climate Letter #1270

A major impact from wildfires that has often been overlooked (Yale e360).  “As wildfires become more frequent and destructive in a warming world, they are increasingly leaving in their wake debris and toxic runoff that are polluting rivers and fouling water supplies.”  This deep analysis has many examples.

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A new report on the critical situation in Bangladesh (in-depth photojournalism from onEarth magazine).  This country, which is roughly the size of Iowa, has a population of 139 million, eighth largest in the world.  It is also one of the world’s wettest, because of storm and sea level effects on the low level of extensive coastal lands plus an overabundance of rainfall.  “Climate experts predict that by 2050, rising sea levels will submerge some 17 percent of the nation’s land and displace about 20 million people.”  Many will try to end up in the capital city of Dhaka, which is already badly overloaded with nearly that many.
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Bill McKibbin writes for The Guardian about migration problems due to climate change in Central America and Mexico.  Not surprisingly, he makes a connection between two of the most egregious policies of the Trump administration.  He also adds comments about the worldwide outlook for climate-induced migration, “…we are a world without atmospheric borders, where the people who have done the least to cause the problem feel its horrors first and hardest.”
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The US is not the only major industrialized nation to turn its back on climate action (Unearthed).  This writer tells why Germany is going down that same track, with evidence that far exceeds the dismal Hambach forest episode that has been in the world news lately.  “The European Commission has reportedly given up on plans to raise the EU’s 2030 carbon emissions target — with critics blaming the German government for ‘torpedoing’ the move.”
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Poland plans to cut coal’s share of power production to 50% by 2040, from the current 80%.  That may sound good, except that “…..coal production should remain at current levels as energy demand is expected to increase, a senior government official said on Tuesday.”  That is similar to what was recently reported in the case of China, which has many times greater the volume.  How can global emissions come down with such a scenario in place?  Should electric cars be blamed for the sharp rise in power demand—or how about the need for more air conditioning as Trump’s 4C world comes upon us?
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A scientific study has found that extreme weather events have only a limited role in shaping climate beliefs.  Certain types of events, those most open to interpretation such as droughts and polar vortex disturbances, “are most likely to be seen through a partisan lens.”  This will probably all change if the extremes get really, really bad, a point of discovery that may not be too far off if some of this year’s events soon get beaten.
Carl

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